Bayesian population analysis using BUGS and JAGS
Instructors: Marc Kéry & Michael Schaub, Swiss Ornithological Institute
Date: 13–17 January 2014
Venue: Institute of Evolutionary Biology and Environmental Studies, Universität Zürich (Irchel Campus), Zürich/Switzerland
Costs: 500 CHF (700 CHF for people outside academia)
This course introduces many key models used in the analysis of distribution, abundance and survival, as well as their spatial and temporal patterns, in a Bayesian analysis framework. It closely follows our recent book “Bayesian population analysis using WinBUGS” published by Academic Press. We use programs R and WinBUGS and JAGS to fit and understand some of the most widely used models for the analysis of animal and plant populations. These include:
• Poisson generalized linear mixed model (e.g., Link and Sauer 2002)
• Closed-population models for population size
• Cormack-Jolly-Seber models for estimating survival probabilities
• Multistate capture-recapture models for estimating survival and transition rates
• Integrated population models (Besbeas et al. 2002; Schaub et al. 2007)
• Site-occupancy models (MacKenzie et al. 2002, 2003) for the analysis of species distributions
• Binomial mixture models (Royle 2004) for the analysis of distribution and abundance with full accounting for observation error
In this intermediate-level workshop 3/4 of the time are spent on lecturing and 1/4 on solving exercises. No previous experience with program WinBUGS, or Bayesian statistics, is assumed. However, a good working knowledge of modern regression methods (ANOVA, ANCOVA, generalised linear models) and of program R is required.
Please bring your own laptops and install a recent version of R plus WinBUGS 1.4., with the upgrade patch and the immortality key decoded (in this order). Alternatively, JAGS and OpenBUGS work fine for 99% of what we do.
This course is organised as part of the PhD program Ecology at the University of Zürich. There are at least 10 slots for external participants.
Send your application to Marc Kéry (email@example.com; cc to firstname.lastname@example.org), describing your background and knowledge in statistical modeling, R and WinBUGS/OpenBUGS/JAGS, by 27 October 2013 at the latest. Workshop invitations will be sent out before 31 October 2013.